Actually, I stand corrected. https://rhg.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Rhodium-Group_Pathways-to-Paris-A-Policy-Assessment-of-the-2030-US-Climate-Target.pdf See page 18 (Figure 4.5). Since BBB looks dead or severely gutted, I'm using the existing policy figures. This is the paper being used to promote the BBB plan by the Biden White House. So, it's the only data showing the impact the BBB could have had.
2025: 9-14% EVs
2030: 16-34% EVs
I mixed up the 9-14% part as 2030. My bad.
The hype machine is real for BEVs. It's mostly the media's fault but, automakers let rumors run wild to get PR.
Automakers are already beginning to walk back or clarify statements on electrification. https://www.thedrive.com/tech/39016/gm-aspires-to-sell-only-evs-by-2035-heres-how-to-understand-what-that-really-means They allowed the hype (or leaked rumors to fuel it) to spread before quietly resetting expectations to more real world scenarios. Most "EVs" will be actually be plug in hybrids, not pure BEVs. Which isn't a such bad thing considering you can treat them like short range BEVs but, you can still refuel in a few mins if your needs change.
Thanks for the links btw. Regardless of the future, BEVs & PHEVs are having a banner year.
Nah, best case it's 55-57% in 2030. It could be as low as 16% by then. Your instincts on this aren't entirely wrong.