Good NPR article...

[A Horse With No Name]

https://www.npr.org/2019/02/16/694303169/as-more-electric-cars-arrive-whats-the-future-for-gas-powered-engines

[balthazar]

So in other words.... no one KNOWS.

[David]

This is awesome read and I totally agree with many things in this write up.

Quote: 

"Electrification, you cannot stop it anymore — it's coming," says Elmer Kades, a managing director with the consulting firm AlixPartners. "We have fantastic growth rates, between 50 and 60 percent on a global level."

Electric vehicles are currently a tiny fraction of the car market, which is dominated by internal combustion engines. But many more electric car models will hit showrooms in the next few years, and several factors have analysts convinced that is part of a major transition in the industry.

I also totally agree that ICE will be here for some time even as we see a tripling to quadrupling of models available by 2025 and the technology that will bring charging on par with ICE fueling by 2025 to 2030.

Quality of City air is becoming a big issue for cities world wide and more cities are looking to ban ICE auto's and delivery trucks and require EVs for the health of everyone and to help quiet down the noise in the cities.

GREAT point made is even is 100% of electric auto's were sold today, it would still take 20-25yrs to totally replace all the ICE on the road and even then not everyone will want to give up or convert their old auto's especially among the collector crowd.