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G. David Felt

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Everything posted by G. David Felt

  1. Korea's Institute for Basic Science or IBS has announced that they believe quantum charging of EV batteries will cut home charging from 10 hours to 3 minutes and public fast charging from 30 minutes to 9 seconds. As society moves to renewable energy or green energy due to humanity outstripping the ability for finite nature fossil fuels to support, one must also consider on how that energy gets to the end user. R&D around the world into renewable sources has accompanied the gradual societal changes of the world adopting new products and devices running on new storage supported by the option to choose your power supply and in this case renewable or green energy. The rapid adoption of electric vehicles, while hardly seen on roads 10 years ago, now account for millions being sold and a common sight. As a rapidly growing segment, one item holds back massive adoption of the less complex, cleaner running electric-vehicle, CHARGING! Tesla has their worldwide Supercharging network but even that is not yet at the 800V fast charging that some like Porsche, GMC-Hummer and a few others are supporting and the fast-charging stations still are rare so getting a fast charge in 15 minutes is rare compared to a more common charge from home at 110v or 220v charging overnight leaving people to either sit at a fast charging station for 30 to 45 minutes or park, charge while shopping or eating to pass the time. For the longest time, batteries have had the traditional lead/acid storage medium with far lower density than that offered by hydrocarbons, resulting in short range for electric autos. Battery technology has improved in allowing Tesla to have some of the first 300-mile range EVs. Others like GM with their Chevrolet Bolt have had over 200 plus miles allowing for solid performing commuter autos. Battery storage technology is the main bottleneck to moving from ICE to electric autos and only recently has lithium-ion batteries gotten to a solid point where various options are now coming onto the market in truck and SUV form in addition the rapidly shrinking market for cars. Despite the advances in battery tech, recharging these massive battery packs is still up to a 10 hour overnight charging at home or a 20-to-40-minute recharge at a Tesla Super Station. Oil companies are buying up charging startup companies to ensure they keep their gas stations modern by moving to a convenience station that offers both ICE and EV charging along with shopping, eating, etc. Still the speed of charging is a problem and with those two things are on the horizon, solid-state batteries and new ways to charge said batteries. As new problems show up, new approaches are found and in this, the mysterious field of Quantum Physics. Current research is allowing for discovery on new quantum technologies that promise the delivery of faster charging rates to both existing lithium-ion batteries and the upcoming solid-state batteries. This approach is the "Collective versus Parallel" charging which was actually published in 2012 by Alicki and Fannes about the concept of Quantum battery. QUOTE: "The paper theorized that quantum resources, such as entanglement, can be used to vastly speed up the battery charging process by charging all cells within the battery simultaneously in a collective manner." This Quantum Charging Advantage can be taken advantage of by the fact that a Tesla has numerous cells in their large battery pack. This would allow charging of all cells in collective versus todays approach of a parallel or serial charging system. The IBS has a Center for Theoretical Physics of Complex Systems which explored in depth the questions surrounding Quantum charging, the research showed that the presence of global operations is the only ingredient needed in the quantum advantage. This group has pinpointed the exact source of this advantage while ruling out any other possibilities per the release from IBS including an explicit way to design such batteries that can handle a Quantum Charging approach. QUOTE of the IBS Press Release: the group was able to precisely quantify how much charging speed can be achieved in this scheme. While the maximum charging speed increases linearly with the number of cells in classical batteries, the study showed that quantum batteries employing global operation can achieve quadratic scaling in charging speed. To illustrate this, we will consider a typical electric vehicle with a battery that contains about 200 cells. Employing this quantum charging would lead to a 200 times speedup over classical batteries, which means that at home charging time would be cut from 10 hours to about 3 minutes. At high-speed charging stations, the charge time would be cut from 30 minutes to mere seconds. Researchers say that consequences can be far-reaching and that the implications of quantum charging can go well beyond electric cars and consumer electronics. For example, it may find key uses in future fusion power plants, which require large amounts of energy to be charged and discharged in an instant. Of course, quantum technologies are still in their infancy and there is a long way to go before these methods can be implemented in practice. Research findings such as these, however, create a promising direction and can incentivize the funding agencies and businesses to further invest in these technologies. If employed, it is believed that quantum batteries would completely revolutionize the way we use energy and take us a step closer to our sustainable future. For people used to technology, we have seen companies like IBM invest in Quantum computing with amazing results that have accelerated computing direction over the last two decades to super computers being the size of a smartphone. This same research and approach is being looked into by the existing battery companies such as LG, Samsung and more. While we will not see Quantum battery packs or chargers by 2025, with the advance pace of Solid-State batteries, one could very well see the first few implementations of Quantum battery packs by 2030 as well as chargers. One might wonder is there any company out there that is already looking to commercialize this Quantum Charging technology other than being a theoretical paper from a school such as IBS of Korea? I give you ACT - Advanced Charging technologies of Texas. An American tech company that has been focused on keeping technology at the forefront of their products and services. While this is not a fully Quantum Charging solution that IBS has published in theory, it is a charging solution for warehouse forklifts that uses the cloud with collective charging of multiple battery packs to ensure forklift needs are available at all times. As ACT has stated about their Quantum Technology Uninterrupted operations due to built-in redundancy and modular design Wireless cloud integration with ACTview and ACTintelligent software Remote software and firmware updates Reduced power consumption and costs Intuitive user interface A smart-grid-ready solution-focused charging solution that reduces maintenance and replacement costs. Quantum Charging is about being all aware to ensure all cells are being given what they need to get fully charged as fast as possible. One can do searches and find many different Quantum chargers. Some are in name only it would seem, where others are clearly focused on recharging battery packs for use in the medical field to industry such as autos. Consider a 100 kWh battery pack that has over 200 cells and how a quantum battery charger would talk to all cells at the same time, giving each cell what it needs to reach 100% fully charged, thus reducing the charge cycle and giving a faster response to fully charged desire. Interested in more research papers, check out their engineering paper site: Institute for Basic Science (ibs.re.kr) New technology to make charging electric cars as fast as pumping gas (ibs.re.kr) Institute for Basic Science (ibs.re.kr) Advanced Charging Technologies | <span class="notranslate">Quantum</span> (act-chargers.com)
  2. I totally get the desire for a V8 and the sound of the engine, while I never have been in the Porsche Taycan and I doubt I would fit, everything I read about their first EV is that it drives like any other Porsche and is extremely enthralling to feel the low punch in the gut off the line and any time you punch the accelerator. My gut feeling is we will see people other than more hardcore auto enthusiasts that feel they must have the motor sound, will embrace EVs heavily once there are options. I truly think that if Chevrolet delivers a quality EV in the Equinox for a starting price of $30K, they will grab considerable market share.
  3. Cadillac at least is in the top for JD Powers quality, rating and recommended buy and I also see BMW, but I do not see Mercedes. So how is being rated top and selling with one of the highest ATP as a luxury division not flying high when Mercedes has had to push into the low end to keep sales going and profits going? Yes Lincoln needs work and has an uphill fight ahead of them, but I do not think they are out yet. I would be more worried about a company that has to produce thousands of generic blah looking auto's and sell on a badge at low atp than a company that sells the most trucks at some very high atp's.
  4. The Hits keep coming and Tesla has appealed the verdict, but we knew it was bound to happen. German Court has ordered Tesla to take back and refund the $69,000 Euro's for an owner who has proven that the auto self driving does not work with the existing hardware and is not safe. Court Makes Tesla Buy Back Model 3: Owner Unhappy With Autopilot (insideevs.com) I suspect Tesla is going to find themselves in a very difficult situation as they push forward the crazy self-driving cost of $12,000 and a yearly fee to have something that is still in Beta form and not allowed for most people yet even though you have paid for it.
  5. So true, currently there is NOTHING available for me to choose to buy yet. The local Ford Dealers have no Mach-E in stock to check out and test fit my size in. Rivian Store in Bellevue Washington has no demo unit either. Tesla is a NO GO, too small as I tried all 4 current models and too poor of quality for me to even consider. Not buying any new ICE auto, so I have about 3 years to wait, I think.
  6. At least you can get low mileage auto insurance. Did that when the Pandemic started and saved a ton. Then with my kids and me now permanent work from home people, moved all the autos on our insurance to low mileage as at most maybe 5 to 6 K miles a year. Most we drive is up the highway to the pass to ski.
  7. 2021 was a banner year for Porsche AG as it delivered for the first time world-wide 301,915 vehicles to customers. While this is the first time the company has ever sold 300,000 plus new vehicles in a year, it was done on the back of their 3 most popular models. Macan - 88,362 Cayenne 83,071 Taycan - 41,296 - First EV for the company, overtook the 911 sports car which sold 38,464 This was an 11% increase in sales over 2020. On top of this, 40% of the Porsche sold in Europe alone were Hybrid versions of the top two selling autos. Porsche says they will produce and sell half of all global sales as some form of EV, either pure BEV or Plug-in Hybrid by 2025. With this lofty goal in reach according to executives, they have set a goal of 80% of Global auto sales in 2030 shall be pure EV. To help achieve that, Porsche is investing in premium charging stations with partners globally in addition to their own 800 V charging systems at their dealerships. Furthermore, Porsche is investing in new battery technology such as solid-state in their new Cellforce Group, with these high-performance battery packs coming online in mass productions by 2024. China was Porsche largest global market, followed by the U.S., then Germany. With a focus on an IPO for Porsche AG going independent, they have committed long-term to a joint EV development R&D with Volkswagen that will benefit from the joint synergies in the future.  So how does Porsche expect to reach 80% electric-vehicle sales by 2030? Electrification of all models and the stopping of ICE production as the electric models come online by a staggard year or so.  Porsche has the electric version of the Macan and Cayenne coming out and the next autos are their 911 and 718 to be pure electric. Porsche believes the public want to go electric sooner rather than later and with the following sales figures believes it can achieve this. 180142_en_3000000.mp4     Quote: Sales in 2021 were €33.1 billion, €4.4 billion more than in the previous year, representing growth of 15 percent (previous year's sales: €28.7 billion). Operating profit was €5.3 billion, exceeding the previous year's figure by €1.1 billion (plus 27 percent). Porsche thus generated an operating return on sales of 16.0 percent (previous year: 14.6 percent). The last Porsche to go Electric will be the 918 series. Porsche's ambition for 2030: More than 80 percent all-electric new vehicles - Porsche Newsroom Cellforce to set up production in proximity to Stuttgart-Zuffenhausen - Porsche Newsroom Porsche delivers more than 300,000 vehicles - Porsche Newsroom Prototypes of the all-electric Macan: both digital and real - Porsche Newsroom
  8. 2021 was a banner year for Porsche AG as it delivered for the first time world-wide 301,915 vehicles to customers. While this is the first time the company has ever sold 300,000 plus new vehicles in a year, it was done on the back of their 3 most popular models. Macan - 88,362 Cayenne 83,071 Taycan - 41,296 - First EV for the company, overtook the 911 sports car which sold 38,464 This was an 11% increase in sales over 2020. On top of this, 40% of the Porsche sold in Europe alone were Hybrid versions of the top two selling autos. Porsche says they will produce and sell half of all global sales as some form of EV, either pure BEV or Plug-in Hybrid by 2025. With this lofty goal in reach according to executives, they have set a goal of 80% of Global auto sales in 2030 shall be pure EV. To help achieve that, Porsche is investing in premium charging stations with partners globally in addition to their own 800 V charging systems at their dealerships. Furthermore, Porsche is investing in new battery technology such as solid-state in their new Cellforce Group, with these high-performance battery packs coming online in mass productions by 2024. China was Porsche largest global market, followed by the U.S., then Germany. With a focus on an IPO for Porsche AG going independent, they have committed long-term to a joint EV development R&D with Volkswagen that will benefit from the joint synergies in the future. So how does Porsche expect to reach 80% electric-vehicle sales by 2030? Electrification of all models and the stopping of ICE production as the electric models come online by a staggard year or so. Porsche has the electric version of the Macan and Cayenne coming out and the next autos are their 911 and 718 to be pure electric. Porsche believes the public want to go electric sooner rather than later and with the following sales figures believes it can achieve this. 180142_en_3000000.mp4 Quote: Sales in 2021 were €33.1 billion, €4.4 billion more than in the previous year, representing growth of 15 percent (previous year's sales: €28.7 billion). Operating profit was €5.3 billion, exceeding the previous year's figure by €1.1 billion (plus 27 percent). Porsche thus generated an operating return on sales of 16.0 percent (previous year: 14.6 percent). The last Porsche to go Electric will be the 918 series. Porsche's ambition for 2030: More than 80 percent all-electric new vehicles - Porsche Newsroom Cellforce to set up production in proximity to Stuttgart-Zuffenhausen - Porsche Newsroom Porsche delivers more than 300,000 vehicles - Porsche Newsroom Prototypes of the all-electric Macan: both digital and real - Porsche Newsroom View full article
  9. As far as average miles driven, many sources but seems to roll between 14,200 to 14,400 now. Average Miles Driven Per Year: Why It Is Important - Kelley Blue Book (kbb.com) How Much Is The Average Car Payment In America? + 21 Stats! (simplyinsurance.com) Average miles driven per year by state - CarInsurance.com Average Miles Driven per Year: The Info You Need to Know » (way.com)
  10. Let's take a REAL BUSINESS LOOK at Tesla, putting accounting into effect, Tesla is a money questionable business putting off paying debt into the future. tsla-20210630-gen.pdf (tesla.com) Here is the End Report of Tesla 2021, December 31st. If they had to pay all the debt incurred and liabilities, they would not be where you think they are today. Being a darling, they are able to play the shell game well. The big benefit is that it finally forced the Legacy OEMs to finally put up or shut up and many are stepping up to compete. Be interesting to see where this is in 2025.
  11. Awesome to hear, way to go Robert, well deserved! In regard to Vaccination and Covid, the BA-2 is now the dominate strain here in the U.S. and while for Vaccinated people it will be like a bad 2-3 day flu, unvaccinated, it really attacks the lungs suffocating you. Sadly, I expect a 4th wave of infections and masking to start the summer off. While we will not see the lock downs of past, we are far from over with this virus. The war in Ukraine is really kicking up this bug and clearly France, Spain, UK, Norway and Sweden are seeing high double digit infections again with hospitalization among the unvaccinated. Just like the Influenza of 1918 and not really settling down till 1925, I think current vaccinations will help us get to a more normal state faster being in 2023 with 2025 being truly back to normal. Still a bit weird being in stores with so many unmasked, but I wear my mask as we are not done yet with this virus.
  12. Wonder how many V8 Hellcats Pacifica vans they will sell? To be shown at SEMA 2022 this fall. https://www.instagram.com/p/CQBr_Q0HCMp/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link
  13. This is no difference than current ICE solutions. Right off the GM Performance web site, connect and cruise that does include pretty much everything except labor and the random parts to finish put this in the same price range today. Unless you do it all yourself, which MOST PEOPLE CANNOT DO, the cost is on par between ICE and EV systems and the future is looking bright for cheaper EV systems as battery cost, the biggest cost become cheaper. Solid-State Battery packs will really change the game as they become mainstream replacing existing Lithium-Ion.
  14. We have yet to see what the actual price is on the GM e-crate solutions and battery packs. Ford has for sale their Mach-e motor, ELUMINATOR MACH E ELECTRIC MOTOR| Part Details for M-9000-MACHE | Ford Performance Parts $4,095 each, do AWD is just $8,190.00 Ford Performance Parts is proud to offer the Eluminator!!! This electric motor is from the 2021 Mustang Mach E GT. Peak power: 210kW (281hp) Peak torque: 430Nm (317 lb.-ft.) Max speed: 13,800rpm Gear ratio: 9.05:1 Weight: 93kg / 205 lbs Includes: HV motor to traction inverter harness LV harness/connector Vent tube assembly. Does NOT include: Traction inverter Control system Battery Part Type Engine: Complete Engines Warranty Availability Not Available Packaged Dimensions 22" x 22" x 32 Packaged Weight 220 lb(s) Yes there are still other components, but no different than an ICE build in restoring an old auto.
  15. Very happy to see this. FDA expected to OK additional Covid-19 booster shots for adults 50 and over this week - CNN
  16. I see no reason you could not electrify an Aurora. Even if GM does not come out with an e-crate that fits, there are other options as you mentioned, Tesla which lately has been going into allot of FWD auto's making them AWD per EV West web site. So I have to think that yes, you could have the Aurora electrified to meet your needs.
  17. GM has stated that they will have e-crate solutions to support converting all ICE autos be it FWD, RWD and AWD to electric. Currently GM has setup an ASE electrification conversion program for auto repair shops to get certified and do conversions with GM e-Crate Solutions and warranty. GMs Electric Vehicle Future | Performance (chevrolet.com) I had signed up requesting information but was weeded out as I am not a current functional auto shop. As such, finding out what all is entailed in getting the certifications, access to wholesale pricing on e-Crate connect and drive solutions for GM auto conversions. I honestly would love to have the Hummer Tri-Motor setup on my 1994 Suburban.
  18. Sad that GM talks about e-crate motor and packages for conversion but has not delivered yet. Would be nice to convert some full-size old autos to have the 3 motor 1,000 hp system that is in the hummer.
  19. ID.Buzz
  20. As @balthazar stated and I agree with we will not see long haul truckers replace their Semi's with BE in the next 25 years in large numbers as I expect it will still be very expensive. Yet with inner city and Suburbs starting to mandate BE use by 2030, it makes sense that this will be the sweet spot for BE Semi's over the next 3 decades. A complete replacement of all trucks in all categories as well as private owned auto's will happen after our lifetime IMHO.
  21. We'll stated, Both Ford and GM have stated to embrace all segments, and with so many EVs supposedly coming to market in 2025, one would have to assume the mid-size SUV segment will have plenty of options.
  22. Yes very true as we have many independent long haul truckers. I honestly do not see a full conversion in our life time. The BE Semi will be good for the short haul, inner city and suburban delivery thing.
  23. Very true, that with everyone moving to electric Semi's eventually everyone will be there. Paccar owner of Kenworth and Peterbuilt has had many electric mules testing around Seattle as their HQ is in Bellevue and the custom-built plant is in Redmond where they also build CNG Semi Trucks and will initially build electric too. Will be interesting to see how these do as I see allot of positive for having them do the inner-city delivery work and suburban deliveries. I think for Musk as Nikola was started by one of Tesla original folks who started to work on the Tesla Semi and I think the Ego could be bruised if Nikola truly can deliver 500 this year and ramp up next year while Tesla is just try to start in Summer of 2023. Gonna be an interesting Marathon for sure.
  24. Another BLACK eye to Tesla, while I tried to get into the press release section of Nikola, I am awaiting approval, we will have to go with the story from Inside EV. Seems Tesla is slipping farther and farther behind as Tesla Semi Trucks are currently scheduled for production to start summer 2023 in Texas. Nikola Tre BEV Series Production Began March 21, Beating Tesla Semi (insideevs.com) Even after the deception by the ex-CEO and Founder about pickup trucks and other toys as he attempted to mimic Musk, the new CEO was able to turn the ship around and actually get these trucks into production. Nikola says 500 will be built this year and delivered to customers here in the US due to parts shortages. June 2023, production will begin at their Germany site for building trucks for Europe.
  25. Thank you as you have brought a sane alternative questioning to a solid discussion that I think we all agree has been good for all here. I totally agree with you that all those folks in DC are messed up in one way or another. Too much BS about power and themselves than the job they were voted in for taking care of the citizens. Yes to always monitoring all sources of facts, review and consider how the data is presented with a good dose of does this make common sense? Yes everyone, I realize that commonsense is not always common with folks. That is where we as a majority can hopefully help others to understand the facts better. I do worry about the rest of this year as I think what we see in Europe will foreshadow what will happen here and I do expect infections to increase and the death count to go higher. I do believe that by 2025 we will have a solid grasp on this virus and very solid facts as you well pointed out about the rush to find a way to combat this virus and the moving data daily, weekly, monthly that is normal in a fast changing situation. Yet, I still believe the design, testing and research has a solid base to follow compared to the hyperbole of social media and armchair doctors. As I am still amazed that there are folks that believe treatments for Horses to rid themselves of worms can cure covid. ? or bleach shot into the body and all the other crazy cures that have been debunked.
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