Jump to content
Create New...
  • 💬 Join the Conversation

    CnG Logo SQ 2023 RedBlue FavIcon300w.png
    Since 2001, Cheers & Gears has been the go-to hub for automotive enthusiasts. Join today to access our vibrant forums, upload your vehicle to the Garage, and connect with fellow gearheads around the world.

     

  • William Maley
    William Maley

    Bob Lutz Sees A Grim Future For the Automobile

      When did Bob Lutz become Nostradamus?

    Whenever Bob Lutz speaks, many people tend to listen as he a number of years of being in the automotive industry under his belt. Recently, Lutz wrote an editorial for Automotive News' Redesigning the Industry where he predicts we are “approaching the end of the automotive era,” within the next 20 years.

    “The end state will be the fully autonomous module with no capability for the driver to exercise command. You will call for it, it will arrive at your location, you’ll get in, input your destination and go to the freeway On the freeway, it will merge seamlessly into a stream of other modules traveling at 120, 150 mph. The speed doesn’t matter. You have a blending of rail-type with individual transportation,” Lutz wrote.

    Lutz sees governments pushing for a 'no-human-drivers' mandate when it becomes clear that self-driving vehicles are much safer than vehicles operated by humans.

    "The tipping point will come when 20 to 30 percent of vehicles are fully autonomous. Countries will look at the accident statistics and figure out that human drivers are causing 99.9 percent of the accidents."

    This according to Lutz will have catastrophic effects for the industry. Most of the driverless pods will be owned, operated and branded as "Uber or Lyft or who-ever else is competing in the market." Many automakers will be forced out of the business as people turn to sharing and not owning a vehicle. Some will remain, but acting as a supplier. Other parts of the business such as dealers, repair shops, and enthusiast magazines will fade away.

    "The era of the human-driven automobile, its repair facilities, its dealerships, the media surrounding it — all will be gone in 20 years."

    We're not fully on board with Lutz's train of thought. The time frame is a bit too soon as we are still on the ground floor when it comes to autonomous technology and the numerous hurdles that still need to be overcome. Plus, how will this driverless pod system work in rural areas?

    That isn't to say it will not happen. Elements of Lutz's viewpoint are coming into focus. For example, Waymo will not have any way for a human to intervene in emergency situations. 

    We highly recommend reading this piece.

    Source: Automotive News (Subscription Required)

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    1 hour ago, oldshurst442 said:

    For the record, again, I dont feel like that is a "G6". Just because Pontiac decided to go alphanumerics on us...

    For myself, and you too I guess, a G6 is NOT a G6 but a Grand Am.

    So...all this talk...is for nada. We are back to square one! :dizzy:

    The G8 would have been cool badged as a Grand Prix or Bonneville...

    • Agree 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    3 hours ago, Drew Dowdell said:

    I dunno... I could have easily gone with a Bonneville, but there was always an Aurora in the same showroom that would grab my attention first. 

    I loved both from that era.

    3 hours ago, Cubical-aka-Moltar said:

    The G8 would have been cool badged as a Grand Prix or Bonneville...

    A G8 with a full line up including convertible and Ute truck...yeah!

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    8 hours ago, Cubical-aka-Moltar said:

    The G8 would have been cool badged as a Grand Prix or Bonneville...

    I see the G8 as a Grand Prix.

    Speaking of which, I saw a G8 today.

    Just the V6. Red. It looked gooooooood.

    Not too many of themm left in my neck of the woods. :(

    Edited by oldshurst442
    • Agree 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    9 hours ago, oldshurst442 said:

    I see the G8 as a Grand Prix.

    Speaking of which, I saw a G8 today.

    Just the V6. Red. It looked gooooooood.

    Not too many of themm left in my neck of the woods. :(

    We just had a V6 G8 in our shop.  Red.  Ridden hard and put away wet.  I was mad.

    And another thing... as has already been stated in here... people are morons when it comes to car maintenance, and they are progressively being weaned off of learning anything about what it really means to own a car.  We are going to see Bolts and Leaves, etc. and of the ilk riding around with bald/flat tires, windshields scratched by rubberless wiper blades, empty washer tanks, paper thin brake rotors, etc. ... because they have the idear stuck in their heads that they don't need to stop at service stations... they've been set free from MAINTAINING their cars!

     

    Edited by ocnblu
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    6 hours ago, ocnblu said:

    We just had a V6 G8 in our shop.  Red.  Ridden hard and put away wet.  I was mad.

    And another thing... as has already been stated in here... people are morons when it comes to car maintenance, and they are progressively being weaned off of learning anything about what it really means to own a car.  We are going to see Bolts and Leaves, etc. and of the ilk riding around with bald/flat tires, windshields scratched by rubberless wiper blades, empty washer tanks, paper thin brake rotors, etc. ... because they have the idear stuck in their heads that they don't need to stop at service stations... they've been set free from MAINTAINING their cars!

     

    Already have that with idiot ICE owners. Cannot say how many lovely auto's are destroyed by morons especially it would seem catholics and mormons with their minivans full of family and yet rubber half way ripped on the wiper scratching the windows lack of any respect. 

    In this regards many people today see an auto regardless of the powertrain as a simple disposable appliance for getting from point A to point B.

    I feel it is only those of us that have a passion for the auto industry and sports car fans that seem to take care of their auto. Otherwise, less maintenance is good, as you pointed out, just changing windshield wipers seems to be a challenge let alone proper air in the tires and changing them once you hit 10% tread left.

    I see so many idiot auto's with bald tires. The Hotel I stayed at in North Carolina, Marriott at Triangle Research Park had bald tires on it and I pointed it out and the driver said not my problem or responsibility. So I told the manager when I got there that if a tire blows and I am in it, I will sue them. Interesting that it was gone later that day and the next day I saw it had new tires on it.

    • Agree 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    8 hours ago, ocnblu said:

    We just had a V6 G8 in our shop.  Red.  Ridden hard and put away wet.  I was mad.

    And another thing... as has already been stated in here... people are morons when it comes to car maintenance, and they are progressively being weaned off of learning anything about what it really means to own a car.  We are going to see Bolts and Leaves, etc. and of the ilk riding around with bald/flat tires, windshields scratched by rubberless wiper blades, empty washer tanks, paper thin brake rotors, etc. ... because they have the idear stuck in their heads that they don't need to stop at service stations... they've been set free from MAINTAINING their cars!

     

    Your argument is non unique.  People were doing that in the early 1970s when I first started to get interested in cars.

    2 hours ago, dfelt said:

    Already have that with idiot ICE owners. Cannot say how many lovely auto's are destroyed by morons especially it would seem catholics and mormons with their minivans full of family and yet rubber half way ripped on the wiper scratching the windows lack of any respect. 

    In this regards many people today see an auto regardless of the powertrain as a simple disposable appliance for getting from point A to point B.

    I feel it is only those of us that have a passion for the auto industry and sports car fans that seem to take care of their auto. Otherwise, less maintenance is good, as you pointed out, just changing windshield wipers seems to be a challenge let alone proper air in the tires and changing them once you hit 10% tread left.

    I see so many idiot auto's with bald tires. The Hotel I stayed at in North Carolina, Marriott at Triangle Research Park had bald tires on it and I pointed it out and the driver said not my problem or responsibility. So I told the manager when I got there that if a tire blows and I am in it, I will sue them. Interesting that it was gone later that day and the next day I saw it had new tires on it.

    Sadly threatening legal action is the only way to get people to change some times.

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    1 hour ago, A Horse With No Name said:

    The Hotel I stayed at in North Carolina, Marriott at Triangle Research Park had bald tires on it...

     

    It's even worse than I thought if the HOTEL had bald tires on it!  :o

    • Haha 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    2 hours ago, ocnblu said:

     

    It's even worse than I thought if the HOTEL had bald tires on it!  :o

    Actually Dfelt had a van with bald tires, i had bed bugs and a gang member in a hotel threatening havoc...I am going to get intimately comfortable with my couch when i get home.

    Although my middle daughter just texted me that my cat is bleeding from the mouth so i may be going to the Veterinary ER room

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    3 hours ago, A Horse With No Name said:

    Actually Dfelt had a van with bald tires, i had bed bugs and a gang member in a hotel threatening havoc...I am going to get intimately comfortable with my couch when i get home.

    Although my middle daughter just texted me that my cat is bleeding from the mouth so i may be going to the Veterinary ER room

    OUCH, wishing you all the best for the family cat. Dog person myself, but the animals are a family member and it sucks when they are hurt. Hope all goes well for you.

    5 hours ago, ocnblu said:

     

    It's even worse than I thought if the HOTEL had bald tires on it!  :o

    Yea, was one of those Fold extended vans with fronts slicks on, Figure they must have been racing it at the track. :P;) 

    • Agree 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites




    Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
    Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

    Guest
    Add a comment...

    ×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

      Only 75 emoji are allowed.

    ×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

    ×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

    ×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Support Real Automotive Journalism

    Cheers and Gears Logo

    Since 2001, Cheers & Gears has delivered real content and honest opinions — not emotionless AI output or manufacturer-filtered fluff.

    If you value independent voices and authentic reviews, consider subscribing. Plans start at just $2.25/month, and paid members enjoy an ad-light experience.*

    You can view subscription options here.

    *a very limited number of ads contain special coupon deals for our members and will show

  • Similar Content

  • Posts

    • Very cool, seems Chinese EVs are here being compared by American companies so that hopefully we do not fall too far behind. A Xiaomi EV was spotted in America, and a US maker might be behind it
    • Kia just showed off in Brussels their Global release of the EV3, EV4, and EV5 GT editions. Full details are here. Kia electrifies Brussels Motor Show with three new GT models: EV3, EV4 and EV5 | Releases | Official Media Site NEWSROOM
    • Phoque him and las vegas!!! Phoque the whole damned country that is the usa!!!  Fix your own shyte! Canadians need not be a money mine for any american tourist site or area!!! trump and many maga a&&hol3s want to make Canada an enemy and actually want to occupy Canada. Many other americans are phoquing clueless to  trump's bullshyte!!!   Phoque that!!! There are only a hair above 40 million Canadians. There are a hair below 350 million americans.  trump said and continues to say that he and the usa does not need anything Canadian.  So phoque trump and phoque the usa!!!  Let americans visit and tourist las vegas and any other american area.  desantis who says continually "who needs Canadians?" and he FALSELY claimed last December  that florida had record breaking visitors mocking Canada's boycott to florida!!! Like I said...fix your OWN shyte!!!  Let the mayor of las vegas strike up a deal and pour marketing money INTO florida begging floridians to visit las vegas.  There are a hair below 25 million a&&hol3s in florida. floridians could visit las vegas!!!  And las vegans and nevadans could return the favour and visit Disney...  In fact, all of america could visit there OWN phoquing country and do their own phoquing tourist vacations within their OWN phoquing dumb a$$ country!!! Canada and Canadians NEED to stay the PHOQUE away from shytty usa!!!  Get killed by an ice agent?  Phoque off!!! Get accosted by a border agent???  Phoque off!!! Get robbed by a desperate down and out american loser because he voted for trump and trump phoqued him?  Phoque off!!!  But you know what the REAL sad news is about this whole shyte???!!!   https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/southern-alberta-mustangs-collision-9.7071643   Rest in Peace 3 Southern Alberta Mustang junior hockey players died in a car crash yesterday afternoon. 2 were from British Columbia and the other boy from Birmingham Alabama.  ALABAMA... The kid was from Alabama playing hockey. In CANADA!!!  And the reverse happens quite often. Kids from Flin Flon Manitoba, play in the States in hockey with US scholarships...   Kids from Boston come to Montreal  and play for McGill or Concordia and Montreal kids play for Boston College...  Its quite sad that trump has made us enemies...   Its even sadder that some americans have accepted it!!!   
  • Who's Online (See full list)

    • There are no registered users currently online
  • My Clubs

×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.

Hey there, we noticed you're using an ad-blocker. We're a small site that is supported by ads or subscriptions. We rely on these to pay for server costs and vehicle reviews.  Please consider whitelisting us in your ad-blocker, or if you really like what you see, you can pick up one of our subscriptions for just $1.75 a month or $15 a year. It may not seem like a lot, but it goes a long way to help support real, honest content, that isn't generated by an AI bot.

See you out there.

Drew
Editor-in-Chief

Write what you are looking for and press enter or click the search icon to begin your search