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regfootball

IS THE BIG SUV DYING?

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I dunno: the convertible was "dying" at one point and theres more than in the last few decades at this point. Station wagons were "dying" and now they're popping up like prairie dogs. Performance cars were "dying" and look at that sector now. The big SUV is at the historic sales high of it's existance, some drop is bound to happen at some point, but they'll never go away. "Dying"; no. 'Adjusting to the market'- yes. Is the career of the typical auto 'journalist' "dying"? Let's hope the hell so.
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How many auto trends have actually fully disappeared from the market? Honestly - think about 50's car body styles and try to come up with one that doesn't have a modern evolution of it. I'm sure somebody will come up with more, but the _only_ one I can think of is the four-door convertible.
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I think they will have a smaller market share, but not go away... I suspect a lot of people that really don't need the space or towing capacity will migrate to smaller, more efficient vehicles. People that have always bought 'Burbans, will continue to buy them...
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I think a lot depends on the ecomony and gas prices... If gas prices stay decent, then no. sales will drop..but slowly... If the job market starts to fall again...and gas prices jump again..sales could drop as much as 75%..... :(
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sales could drop as much as 75%.....


One analyst said that full size SUV sales will probably end up at 25 percent of the current level (can't remember where I read this). This makes sense.
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One analyst said that full size SUV sales will probably end up at 25 percent of the current level (can't remember where I read this).  This makes sense.

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That still depends of how times get...but regardless..there will be a fall..
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With the new GM SUVs estimated to get the same gas mileage as minivans I suspect GMs SUV will become very popular once again.
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GM is expecting a 25% decline in volume for the GMT 900s, even with expanded market share and muc improved fuel economy. A lot of big nw SUVs are coming too. Ford has it's new lwb Excursion and Navigator, Toyota the new Sequoia and LX, DCX the new G-Class and Chrysler Aspen. This is in addition to other big SUVs such as the Land Cruiser and Nissan Patrol (neither of which have modern diesels offering fuel-economy better than GM's bigger V8 engines). You can criticize GM for not making the GMT 900's more flexible and innovative in their interiors, but why spend more on a dying segment?
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